I'm pretty sure that the Boomer Cylon on Caprica has always known. This is in evidence from an episode that you've probably not seen before, that showed a lot.
And as for risky moves, there's risky, and there's stupid. Replacing his wife would just be plain stupid, considering all it's going to do is show that they can do it, which will make the military that much more strict. Telling the enemy your technological capabilities and showcasing your intelligence capabilities is about as stupid as it gets. The Cylons don't strike me as being that dumb. As for Godfrey, no, her cover was not deliberately blown. Had it not been for the 2nd officer being very intelligent and unwilling to take things at face value, the evidence presented would have landed Baltar on the prison barge, if not in front of a firing squad. As for Ellen being a Cylon all along, that's absolutely senseless, considering the show pretty much makes it clear that the Cylons didn't start employing androids, until not much more than 2 years ago. I'm sure Colonel Tigh and his wife have been married a lot longer than 2 years. As I've said somewhere else, if the Cylons had it longer than 2 years, then this whole thing would've taken place a lot longer ago. Their plan only took 2 years. If it was that easy, then it would have gotten to this point a long time ago, and not just now.
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And as for risky moves, there's risky, and there's stupid. Replacing his wife would just be plain stupid, considering all it's going to do is show that they can do it, which will make the military that much more strict. Telling the enemy your technological capabilities and showcasing your intelligence capabilities is about as stupid as it gets. The Cylons don't strike me as being that dumb. As for Godfrey, no, her cover was not deliberately blown. Had it not been for the 2nd officer being very intelligent and unwilling to take things at face value, the evidence presented would have landed Baltar on the prison barge, if not in front of a firing squad. As for Ellen being a Cylon all along, that's absolutely senseless, considering the show pretty much makes it clear that the Cylons didn't start employing androids, until not much more than 2 years ago. I'm sure Colonel Tigh and his wife have been married a lot longer than 2 years. As I've said somewhere else, if the Cylons had it longer than 2 years, then this whole thing would've taken place a lot longer ago. Their plan only took 2 years. If it was that easy, then it would have gotten to this point a long time ago, and not just now.